Atl. Nacional vs Sporting San Miguelito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
41.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2017 |
VER
3 - 0
NAC
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 1
SFF
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
ARA
4 - 0
NAC
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 0
AFC
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
TAU
2 - 1
NAC
65%
22%
13%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SMI
1 - 2
AMA
43%
29%
28%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SMI
1 - 0
GEM
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
VER
1 - 3
SMI
30%
29%
42%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
SMI
5 - 1
SFF
39%
28%
34%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
MSM
0 - 1
SMI
18%
20%
63%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |