Atl. Nacional vs River Plate David analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
9.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CEN
2 - 1
NAC
33%
27%
39%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
COL
1 - 2
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
MIL
54%
24%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
CHI
67%
20%
14%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
COS
0 - 2
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
River Plate David
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
RIV
0 - 0
MIL
22%
24%
54%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CHI
5 - 0
RIV
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
RIV
0 - 1
COS
26%
24%
50%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 1
RIV
72%
18%
10%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
VER
0 - 0
RIV
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | +2 |