Atl. Nacional vs Colón C-3 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
18.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
TIE
1 - 1
NAC
33%
25%
41%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 1
MSM
54%
24%
23%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2014 |
ORI
3 - 4
NAC
19%
24%
58%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
SUN
2 - 0
NAC
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 0
CEN
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Colón C-3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
MSM
3 - 1
COL
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
SUN
2 - 1
COL
69%
19%
13%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
COL
0 - 0
CEN
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
COL
2 - 1
ORI
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
COL
2 - 1
TIE
55%
23%
23%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |