Atl. Nacional vs Centenario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
25.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 0
VER
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
AZU
1 - 1
NAC
41%
25%
33%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 1
SUN
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
RIO
0 - 3
NAC
31%
25%
44%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 0
COL
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CEN
0 - 0
RIO
54%
26%
20%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
COL
1 - 1
CEN
37%
29%
35%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
CEN
1 - 0
CHI
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
VER
2 - 4
CEN
58%
25%
18%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +3 |
| 13 Aug. 2018 |
SMA
1 - 1
CEN
56%
24%
19%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |