Atl. Nacional vs Centenario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
23.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
AZU
2 - 2
NAC
37%
25%
38%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 0
MSM
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
COL
0 - 1
NAC
20%
23%
57%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 2
SUN
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 0
COS
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2018 |
CEN
3 - 1
MSM
45%
27%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
SUN
0 - 1
CEN
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
CEN
0 - 0
COS
35%
29%
36%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
SMA
2 - 1
CEN
56%
23%
20%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
CEN
2 - 1
RIO
45%
26%
30%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |