Amanecer vs Unión Dena CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
24.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
AMA
59%
20%
21%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
AMA
2 - 5
PON
28%
24%
48%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
GRA
2 - 0
AMA
53%
22%
25%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 1
PON
58%
20%
22%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
BEL
4 - 1
AMA
61%
20%
19%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Dena CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
UDE
0 - 1
CAN
30%
23%
47%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
NIG
3 - 0
UDE
41%
22%
37%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
UDE
1 - 1
CAM
41%
24%
35%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
RAP
1 - 1
UDE
35%
22%
43%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
UDE
3 - 1
ERI
16%
19%
65%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |