Amanecer vs Sampayo U. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.9%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
PAR
1 - 1
AMA
22%
22%
56%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
DEI
0 - 1
AMA
20%
22%
58%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
AMA
1 - 2
CER
69%
18%
13%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
MOS
1 - 2
AMA
15%
20%
64%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
AMA
2 - 0
BUE
57%
22%
21%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sampayo U.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
SAM
0 - 3
CER
33%
23%
45%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
MOS
1 - 4
SAM
41%
23%
36%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
SAM
2 - 4
BUE
24%
22%
55%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
ALA
3 - 0
SAM
60%
20%
20%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
SAM
0 - 1
ROM
38%
23%
39%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |