Amanecer vs Caldas CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
19.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+133%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CAN
0 - 0
AMA
31%
23%
46%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
AMA
2 - 2
PON
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 2
AMA
29%
23%
48%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 2
AMA
19%
21%
61%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
AMA
0 - 1
CUN
79%
14%
8%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 1
GUA
47%
23%
30%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 0
CAL
91%
7%
2%
|
12 | 78 | 66 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 1
SES
31%
23%
47%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
BEL
3 - 3
CAL
75%
15%
10%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 2
UDE
41%
23%
37%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |