Amanecer vs Bamio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.8%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CAT
2 - 3
AMA
18%
20%
62%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
AMA
4 - 3
COB
71%
17%
12%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ADR
1 - 2
AMA
34%
24%
43%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
AMA
2 - 1
FIG
59%
20%
21%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ARC
0 - 1
AMA
30%
23%
47%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bamio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
COB
3 - 2
BAM
60%
21%
20%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
BAM
0 - 1
FIG
37%
23%
40%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ZAC
0 - 0
BAM
61%
20%
19%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
BAM
0 - 3
UMI
16%
20%
64%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
NOA
2 - 0
BAM
55%
21%
24%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |