League One play-offs Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Scunthorpe United vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
43.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scunthorpe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2017 |
MIL
0 - 0
SCU
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SCU
3 - 1
COV
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
SWI
1 - 2
SCU
27%
25%
48%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
SCU
3 - 1
CHE
69%
20%
11%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
MKD
0 - 1
SCU
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2017 |
MIL
0 - 0
SCU
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
BRO
3 - 4
MIL
32%
26%
42%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
MIL
0 - 3
OXF
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
FLE
1 - 0
MIL
33%
26%
40%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
MIL
3 - 0
NOR
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |