Peña Deportiva U19 vs Atlético Rafal U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
39.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
10º
17º
16º
14
16º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
71 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
65 | 68 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
64 | 66 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
62 | 65 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
59 | 59 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 53 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
51 | 52 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 48 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 44 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 38 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
14 | 14 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 3 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Deportiva U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SCR
0 - 2
SAL
15%
19%
67%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
RCD
3 - 0
SCR
89%
8%
3%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SCR
1 - 2
ATB
22%
24%
54%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SCR
1 - 2
AND
12%
16%
72%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SLL
0 - 0
SCR
36%
21%
42%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Rafal U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 0
SLL
60%
19%
21%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FER
1 - 1
ARA
49%
22%
28%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 0
PLA
31%
23%
46%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
IBI
3 - 1
ARA
69%
17%
14%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ARA
1 - 2
SAN
47%
22%
31%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |