Scordia vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
43.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scordia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
REN
0 - 0
SCO
68%
18%
13%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
SCO
1 - 0
VIG
29%
23%
49%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CAV
2 - 2
SCO
88%
8%
4%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
SCO
0 - 1
LEO
21%
22%
57%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
SCO
2 - 2
ROC
27%
22%
51%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 2
GRA
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
NFR
3 - 1
MAR
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 4
USV
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
SIR
2 - 2
MAR
81%
14%
5%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
REN
2 - 0
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |