Schweinfurt vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
64.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schweinfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1946 |
MUN
0 - 1
SCH
79%
12%
9%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1946 |
SCH
0 - 1
OFC
47%
20%
33%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1946 |
KFV
1 - 1
SCH
26%
24%
50%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1946 |
SCH
3 - 2
BYM
12%
18%
70%
|
75 | 92 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1946 |
SVS
3 - 2
SCH
69%
16%
16%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1946 |
FCN
3 - 1
TSA
87%
8%
5%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1946 |
WAL
2 - 1
FCN
13%
19%
69%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1946 |
FCN
4 - 0
KFV
93%
5%
2%
|
91 | 50 | 41 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1946 |
AUG
3 - 3
FCN
22%
22%
57%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
FCN
0 - 5
SVS
90%
7%
3%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | -1 |