Schwaz vs Kirchbichl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SCH
0 - 0
SVA
67%
19%
14%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
STJ
1 - 1
SCH
26%
22%
52%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SCH
3 - 2
REU
45%
24%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
KUN
3 - 2
SCH
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SCH
2 - 2
TEL
64%
21%
15%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
KIR
2 - 5
STJ
71%
16%
13%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
KUN
3 - 0
KIR
47%
22%
31%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
KEM
2 - 2
KIR
33%
23%
44%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
KIR
19 - 0
AXG
88%
9%
3%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
REI
2 - 0
KIR
64%
18%
18%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |