Schwaz vs Hard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
USC
1 - 6
SCH
49%
23%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
SCH
1 - 0
KUF
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
FCW
3 - 1
SCH
50%
23%
27%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
SCH
0 - 0
DOR
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
SCR
1 - 1
SCH
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 0
TSV
49%
23%
29%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
SWB
3 - 0
HAR
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2016 |
HAR
3 - 0
REI
70%
18%
13%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
PIN
1 - 1
HAR
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
HAR
0 - 0
SEE
43%
24%
34%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |