Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Neuss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 1968 |
HAM
0 - 3
SWE
55%
24%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1968 |
SWE
2 - 0
NEU
61%
21%
19%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
EGE
2 - 1
SWE
42%
26%
31%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
SWE
1 - 2
KÖL
68%
18%
14%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
BOT
1 - 0
SWE
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Neuss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 1968 |
NEU
1 - 1
LEV
32%
24%
44%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1968 |
SWE
2 - 0
NEU
61%
21%
19%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
NEU
2 - 2
HAM
52%
22%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
TSV
1 - 0
NEU
45%
24%
31%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
NEU
2 - 2
PRE
58%
21%
22%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |