Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+92%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
SWE
1 - 2
DUS
52%
24%
24%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
WUP
0 - 0
SWE
34%
25%
40%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SWE
2 - 1
SFB
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
KFC
1 - 0
SWE
65%
20%
16%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
RWO
2 - 2
SWE
28%
23%
50%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
VFB
1 - 4
SON
50%
23%
27%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
VFB
0 - 1
CRO
58%
21%
22%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
BOS
2 - 3
VFB
51%
22%
27%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
GRA
2 - 1
VFB
72%
17%
12%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
VFB
1 - 2
KAP
35%
24%
41%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |