Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
9.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+129%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
WHE
0 - 4
SWE
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
AAA
1 - 1
SWE
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
SWE
1 - 2
GEW
49%
26%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
SWE
3 - 0
WAT
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
SWE
0 - 0
SPE
68%
20%
12%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
VEL
0 - 2
ESS
44%
23%
32%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
KLE
1 - 0
VEL
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
GEW
1 - 1
VEL
67%
19%
14%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
VEL
0 - 3
WHE
32%
24%
44%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
HUL
0 - 0
VEL
52%
23%
25%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |