Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
+138%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
SWE
1 - 1
SOI
71%
18%
11%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
SWE
2 - 0
SPO
28%
26%
46%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +3 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
GUT
1 - 3
SWE
45%
25%
31%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
SWE
0 - 2
FOR
33%
26%
41%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
SCH
0 - 1
SWE
43%
26%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
KÖL
1 - 0
VEL
79%
14%
7%
|
28 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
GUT
1 - 0
VEL
52%
23%
25%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
VEL
2 - 2
GEW
46%
24%
30%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
VEL
1 - 4
ESS
55%
22%
24%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
VEL
1 - 1
SOI
72%
17%
12%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |