Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+73%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
WUP
1 - 2
SWE
26%
24%
51%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
SWE
3 - 1
FCJ
72%
17%
12%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2005 |
SWE
0 - 0
DUS
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
KLE
3 - 2
SWE
44%
24%
32%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
SWE
2 - 2
BOR
40%
27%
33%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
VEL
2 - 0
WEG
81%
14%
5%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
DUR
0 - 2
VEL
22%
22%
56%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
VEL
3 - 3
FCB
73%
18%
9%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
VEL
4 - 1
BOR
44%
27%
29%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
YUK
2 - 3
VEL
14%
20%
65%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | 0 |