Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Meerbusch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
6º
17º
6º
34
5º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
57.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
48.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 53 |
7º
|
4.5% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
36% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 36 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
|
16º
|
34 | 35 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
81.5% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 38.5% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 61.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SON
1 - 0
SWE
29%
22%
50%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SWE
0 - 0
NET
64%
19%
17%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
HIL
1 - 0
SWE
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SWE
1 - 1
STR
63%
19%
19%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
SWE
3 - 1
SPR
63%
19%
18%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Meerbusch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
MEE
1 - 1
DJK
91%
6%
3%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SFB
3 - 1
MEE
62%
19%
20%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SON
1 - 1
MEE
39%
22%
38%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
MEE
3 - 2
NET
57%
19%
24%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
MEE
3 - 1
WAT
53%
20%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |