Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Schermbeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
VEL
1 - 1
SWE
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SWE
1 - 2
VFB
67%
21%
12%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
SWE
0 - 1
GEW
31%
27%
42%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
SPO
0 - 2
SWE
46%
25%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
KÖL
1 - 1
SWE
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Schermbeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SCH
3 - 1
BER
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
WER
0 - 3
SCH
47%
24%
30%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
WHE
3 - 0
SCH
44%
25%
30%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
AAA
3 - 0
SCH
65%
20%
15%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
SCH
2 - 1
VEL
31%
24%
45%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |