Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Rot Weiss Ahlen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
33.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
DOR
0 - 2
SWE
28%
23%
49%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2011 |
SPE
2 - 3
SWE
62%
20%
18%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SWE
2 - 3
VFB
51%
25%
25%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SCH
2 - 2
SWE
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
HUL
4 - 1
SWE
40%
25%
35%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Rot Weiss Ahlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
RWA
1 - 2
VEL
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ERN
0 - 1
RWA
15%
19%
67%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
RWA
0 - 0
DOR
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -3 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
RWA
1 - 1
WHE
81%
13%
7%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
RWA
0 - 7
AAA
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -2 |