Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Kray analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
41%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+82%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
GRA
2 - 0
SWE
31%
24%
45%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
SWE
3 - 0
RWO
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SON
3 - 0
SWE
36%
24%
41%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SWE
3 - 1
BOS
65%
19%
16%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
UED
0 - 4
SWE
20%
21%
59%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Kray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
KRA
2 - 0
KAP
60%
21%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
MSV
1 - 2
KRA
60%
20%
21%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
KRA
0 - 1
ESS
56%
21%
23%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
VFB
2 - 1
KRA
37%
23%
40%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
KRA
1 - 1
WUP
50%
22%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |