Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
60.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2006 |
SPE
2 - 1
SWE
41%
24%
35%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
SWE
3 - 0
MSV
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
SWE
5 - 2
WEG
83%
12%
5%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
DUR
1 - 0
SWE
28%
24%
49%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
SWE
0 - 1
FCB
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2006 |
DIE
3 - 0
BSC
74%
17%
10%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
DUR
2 - 3
DIE
11%
18%
72%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
WER
2 - 2
DIE
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
DIE
0 - 3
HAM
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2006 |
STP
3 - 1
DIE
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |