Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
45.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
SWE
1 - 1
MSV
58%
21%
21%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
WEG
0 - 1
SWE
43%
26%
31%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
SWE
1 - 2
VEL
30%
24%
46%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
SWE
2 - 0
FOR
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
BOR
1 - 0
SWE
62%
22%
17%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
DIE
0 - 1
VIK
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
ADL
1 - 2
DIE
29%
24%
46%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
DIE
1 - 0
WUP
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
BFR
0 - 4
DIE
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
DIE
4 - 2
MSV
65%
19%
16%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |