Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
ADL
3 - 2
SWE
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
SWE
1 - 3
MSV
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
WEG
1 - 3
SWE
67%
19%
14%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
RHE
2 - 0
SWE
64%
21%
15%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
SWE
1 - 0
BSC
67%
20%
13%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2000 |
GET
3 - 2
DIE
39%
28%
33%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
DIE
0 - 0
FCR
31%
26%
43%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
FCB
1 - 1
DIE
58%
23%
19%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2000 |
DIE
0 - 1
BOR
33%
27%
40%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1999 |
FOR
3 - 1
DIE
61%
22%
17%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |