Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Kapellen-Erft analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
17.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+92%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2013 |
HAM
1 - 0
SWE
31%
24%
45%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
SWE
1 - 1
HNI
61%
20%
18%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SPE
0 - 2
SWE
31%
24%
45%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
SWE
2 - 0
SON
66%
19%
15%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SWE
1 - 0
UED
77%
15%
9%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Kapellen-Erft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2013 |
KAP
2 - 2
RWO
54%
22%
24%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
GRA
2 - 0
KAP
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SON
2 - 0
KAP
37%
24%
38%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
KAP
7 - 0
CRO
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
KAP
3 - 0
HAM
38%
24%
39%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +2 |