Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
SWE
0 - 1
ROT
18%
25%
57%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
WHE
2 - 2
SWE
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
SWE
0 - 1
SPE
49%
26%
25%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
WEG
1 - 2
SWE
11%
19%
70%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
GEW
3 - 1
SWE
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
KÖL
1 - 1
BER
71%
18%
12%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
WER
2 - 2
KÖL
25%
23%
52%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
KÖL
1 - 1
SCH
59%
22%
19%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
VEL
1 - 1
KÖL
51%
22%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
KÖL
2 - 0
VFB
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |