Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Union Frintrop analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.1%
7.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
6º
17º
6º
33
7º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
57.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
48.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 53 |
7º
|
4.5% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
36% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 36 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 35 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
81.5% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 4% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 96% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
VFR
0 - 4
SWE
13%
18%
69%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MEE
0 - 2
SWE
31%
22%
48%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SWE
3 - 0
SON
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
NET
2 - 2
SWE
31%
25%
45%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
SWE
1 - 1
TDV
32%
24%
44%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Union Frintrop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
DJK
2 - 3
SFB
11%
14%
76%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
DJK
5 - 2
MEE
13%
16%
71%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | +4 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SON
2 - 0
DJK
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
DJK
0 - 2
HIL
10%
14%
76%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
HIL
0 - 0
DJK
84%
11%
6%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | 0 |