Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Cronenberger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.9%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
6.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+92%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
BOS
2 - 3
SWE
16%
21%
63%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
SWE
1 - 2
KFC
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
SON
2 - 0
SWE
18%
21%
60%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | -2 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
SWE
1 - 0
SPE
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2012 |
VFB
0 - 3
SWE
21%
23%
55%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Cronenberger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CRO
0 - 0
RWO
26%
23%
51%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
GRA
1 - 3
CRO
81%
13%
6%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CRO
0 - 2
KAP
23%
23%
54%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |