Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
22.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1977 |
KFC
3 - 1
SWE
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1977 |
SWE
1 - 1
FCB
84%
11%
5%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1977 |
SWE
2 - 0
COH
79%
13%
8%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1977 |
ROT
4 - 0
SWE
79%
13%
8%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1977 |
SWE
2 - 4
AHA
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1977 |
AAA
1 - 1
HAN
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1977 |
PRE
1 - 1
AAA
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1977 |
BOR
3 - 0
AAA
22%
25%
53%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 1977 |
AAA
3 - 3
USO
78%
15%
7%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1977 |
TEN
2 - 2
AAA
69%
18%
13%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |