Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
11.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1976 |
SWE
0 - 1
AHA
75%
17%
8%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1976 |
OSN
4 - 2
SWE
63%
20%
17%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1976 |
SWE
1 - 0
BSC
87%
11%
2%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1976 |
ISC
2 - 3
SWE
39%
26%
36%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1976 |
SWE
3 - 1
WUP
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1976 |
AAA
0 - 1
OSN
34%
25%
41%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1976 |
BSC
1 - 1
AAA
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1976 |
AAA
4 - 3
ISC
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1976 |
BVB
2 - 0
AAA
83%
11%
7%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1976 |
WUP
4 - 1
AAA
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |