Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1975 |
BAR
1 - 1
SWE
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1975 |
SWE
1 - 0
KÖL
30%
26%
44%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
HAN
3 - 1
SWE
77%
15%
9%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
SWE
1 - 2
ARB
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
WAB
1 - 0
SWE
69%
18%
13%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1975 |
AAA
3 - 0
OWI
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1975 |
STP
1 - 0
AAA
80%
13%
7%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
AAA
2 - 1
DJK
48%
24%
28%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1975 |
WAT
1 - 0
AAA
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1975 |
AAA
4 - 0
ERK
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |