Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.8%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
8.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
MSV
3 - 1
SWE
44%
24%
32%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
BVB
0 - 1
SWE
74%
15%
11%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
SWE
0 - 3
ROT
52%
21%
26%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
S04
0 - 3
SWE
74%
15%
11%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
SWE
4 - 2
PRD
79%
12%
9%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
AAA
3 - 2
KOL
68%
17%
15%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
DUI
3 - 2
AAA
61%
20%
20%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
AAA
1 - 3
F95
82%
11%
7%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
PRD
3 - 1
AAA
61%
20%
19%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
AAA
4 - 2
UKR
92%
6%
3%
|
50 | 17 | 33 | 0 |