Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
9.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1941 |
SWE
1 - 5
S04
76%
14%
10%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1941 |
SWH
1 - 2
SWE
64%
18%
18%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
FCN
2 - 1
SWE
84%
10%
6%
|
46 | 77 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
SWE
5 - 2
SGE
84%
10%
6%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1940 |
BSG
3 - 10
SWE
19%
21%
61%
|
46 | 9 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
MON
2 - 1
AAA
86%
9%
5%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
AAA
1 - 1
ERK
62%
19%
19%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
HAM
1 - 1
AAA
71%
16%
13%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
PRE
5 - 1
AAA
81%
12%
7%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
SHE
2 - 0
AAA
73%
15%
12%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |