Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Alemannia Aachen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SWE
2 - 1
WHE
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
SPE
0 - 0
SWE
30%
25%
45%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
SWE
2 - 2
WEG
75%
17%
8%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
SWE
2 - 1
ERK
73%
18%
9%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
SWE
2 - 0
MSV
50%
25%
26%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
GEW
0 - 4
AAA
60%
23%
18%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
AAA
0 - 1
VFB
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
HUL
0 - 2
AAA
34%
26%
41%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
AAA
3 - 3
MSV
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -3 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
AAA
1 - 3
ROT
20%
25%
55%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |