Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Alemannia Aachen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
SWE
0 - 1
SPO
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
HUL
3 - 1
SWE
30%
25%
46%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
SWE
1 - 4
BER
78%
15%
7%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
SWE
0 - 1
WIE
74%
16%
9%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
WAT
1 - 4
SWE
36%
24%
40%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
AAA
1 - 1
ESS
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
KLE
2 - 2
AAA
30%
26%
44%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
AAA
2 - 5
VEL
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
WHE
0 - 2
AAA
35%
26%
39%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
AAA
1 - 0
MSV
48%
23%
29%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |