SW Bregenz vs Hohenems analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
22.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
4º
1º
45
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SW Bregenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
RTB
0 - 4
SWB
29%
21%
50%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SWB
5 - 1
EGG
74%
15%
11%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
ROT
2 - 5
SWB
20%
20%
60%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
SWB
3 - 1
SCR
57%
20%
22%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SWB
3 - 0
LAU
59%
20%
21%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Hohenems
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
HOH
4 - 0
ROT
64%
18%
18%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
HOH
5 - 2
SCG
68%
16%
16%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
ADM
1 - 1
HOH
41%
21%
38%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
HOH
3 - 1
DOR
83%
11%
6%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
LAU
2 - 1
HOH
31%
22%
47%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |