SW Bregenz vs Egg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
11.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+79%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
4º
1º
25
1º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SW Bregenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
ROT
2 - 5
SWB
20%
20%
60%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
SWB
3 - 1
SCR
57%
20%
22%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SWB
3 - 0
LAU
59%
20%
21%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
ROT
0 - 2
SWB
37%
23%
40%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SWB
2 - 1
WOL
70%
17%
13%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Egg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
EGG
3 - 1
ROT
31%
22%
47%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
WOL
5 - 1
EGG
37%
23%
40%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
EGG
3 - 2
SCG
41%
21%
38%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
ADM
1 - 3
EGG
77%
13%
10%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
EGG
4 - 1
DOR
55%
20%
25%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |