SW Bregenz vs Admira Wacker analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
61.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
12º
10º
47
3º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SW Bregenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2024 |
SKN
2 - 2
SWB
65%
21%
15%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
LBN
2 - 0
SWB
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
SWB
0 - 2
SVS
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SVH
1 - 0
SWB
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SWB
0 - 3
GRA
12%
20%
68%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Admira Wacker
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2024 |
AWM
0 - 3
VIE
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
SVL
1 - 3
AWM
33%
25%
42%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
AWM
2 - 0
LBN
47%
28%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
GRA
1 - 0
AWM
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
AWM
0 - 0
FCL
36%
26%
37%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |