Schiltigheim vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.6%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.6%
1-0
3%
2-1
0.9%
3-2
0.1%
+1
4%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
16.9%
78.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
19.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
20%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
24.4%
0-3
13.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schiltigheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2000 |
SCH
1 - 3
GIR
5%
12%
83%
|
34 | 88 | 54 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1997 |
SCH
0 - 4
STR
4%
16%
80%
|
34 | 84 | 50 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1995 |
SCH
0 - 3
AUB
54%
22%
24%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2002 |
TRO
0 - 1
REN
45%
26%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
NAN
2 - 1
TRO
59%
23%
19%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
MAR
5 - 1
TRO
50%
27%
23%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
TRO
0 - 0
LEN
39%
28%
34%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
SOC
1 - 0
TRO
49%
26%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |