Schermbeck vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
21%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schermbeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SCH
6 - 3
RWA
17%
21%
63%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
BER
0 - 1
SCH
68%
19%
13%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SCH
3 - 2
HUL
45%
25%
30%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
KFC
4 - 1
SCH
68%
19%
14%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 5
VEL
31%
24%
45%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
VFB
3 - 1
BER
25%
24%
51%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
HUL
1 - 0
VFB
47%
24%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
DOR
1 - 1
VFB
30%
24%
46%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
VFB
1 - 1
KFC
38%
25%
38%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
VEL
1 - 1
VFB
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |