Schermbeck vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
44.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schermbeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 2
ROT
15%
23%
62%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
SCH
3 - 1
SPE
31%
27%
42%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +3 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 3
WEG
70%
18%
12%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
SPO
3 - 0
SCH
56%
24%
20%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -5 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
SCH
0 - 1
GEW
24%
26%
51%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
KÖL
4 - 1
VEL
48%
24%
29%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
VFB
0 - 2
KÖL
32%
23%
45%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
KÖL
0 - 1
ROT
23%
25%
52%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
WHE
0 - 2
KÖL
41%
24%
35%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
KÖL
0 - 1
SPE
56%
23%
22%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |