Schengen vs Sanem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
2º
12º
6º
22
9º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schengen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
UKT
3 - 4
SCH
35%
24%
41%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SCH
3 - 2
URE
75%
15%
10%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
SCH
1 - 6
BWI
76%
15%
10%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
RES
1 - 0
SCH
59%
20%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
UME
2 - 6
SCH
11%
15%
74%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Sanem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 2
ESC
44%
22%
34%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
RBE
2 - 2
SAN
53%
22%
25%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 0
SAN
40%
23%
38%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 0
KOE
33%
21%
45%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 1
USS
48%
21%
31%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |