Schengen vs Red Star Merl-Belair analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
2º
12º
6º
35
4º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schengen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SCH
1 - 3
FOL
7%
9%
84%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
TBB
2 - 3
SCH
20%
22%
58%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
USS
1 - 2
SCH
24%
22%
54%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SCH
4 - 0
SYR
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SCH
3 - 2
SCH
22%
20%
58%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Red Star Merl-Belair
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
RSM
2 - 3
SYR
39%
22%
39%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ESC
1 - 0
RSM
58%
19%
23%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
RSM
2 - 2
RBE
42%
22%
36%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
RSM
0 - 1
BWM
21%
19%
60%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
KOE
2 - 0
RSM
49%
21%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |