Schengen vs Differdange 03 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
3.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
0.9%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
2.6%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.3%
89.1%
Win probability
3.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
6.6%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
19.2%
0-4
9.7%
1-5
4.8%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.1%
-4
15.6%
0-5
7.1%
1-6
2.9%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0.1%
-5
10.5%
0-6
4.3%
1-7
1.5%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
6%
0-7
2.2%
1-8
0.7%
2-9
0.1%
-7
3%
0-8
1%
1-9
0.3%
2-10
0%
-8
1.3%
0-9
0.4%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.5%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schengen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
LAP
1 - 4
SCH
11%
15%
74%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SCH
4 - 5
BWM
31%
22%
47%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
EHL
1 - 5
SCH
25%
21%
54%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
SCH
1 - 6
FEU
81%
12%
7%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SCH
1 - 3
COL
77%
14%
10%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Differdange 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
DIF
1 - 1
WIL
56%
22%
22%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
DIF
1 - 0
FCR
69%
18%
13%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
USH
4 - 5
DIF
22%
23%
55%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
DIF
3 - 0
ETZ
74%
16%
10%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
USM
1 - 3
DIF
25%
25%
49%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |