Schalke 04 vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
WOL
2 - 1
S04
45%
25%
30%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
S04
2 - 0
KOL
63%
22%
15%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
OSN
0 - 1
S04
24%
26%
50%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
SCF
0 - 0
S04
24%
26%
51%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
S04
2 - 0
HOF
58%
24%
18%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
BVB
4 - 1
HAN
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
BYM
3 - 1
BVB
69%
18%
13%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
BVB
2 - 3
EIN
57%
24%
20%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
STU
4 - 1
BVB
43%
25%
32%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
BVB
1 - 0
HSV
33%
26%
42%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |