Schalke 04 vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
2.8%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.4%
1-0
1.2%
2-1
0.9%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.3%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.9%
89.2%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
13.9%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
20%
0-4
11.2%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
15.1%
0-5
7.2%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
9.3%
0-6
3.9%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.1%
-6
4.8%
0-7
1.8%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
2.2%
0-8
0.7%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.9%
0-9
0.3%
1-10
0%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
12º
18º
17º
71
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
S04
1 - 0
M05
27%
24%
49%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BRE
2 - 1
S04
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
S04
0 - 2
SCF
21%
22%
56%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
HER
2 - 1
S04
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
HOF
5 - 1
S04
62%
20%
18%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
BYM
6 - 1
BRE
87%
10%
4%
|
95 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
HER
2 - 3
BYM
3%
8%
89%
|
95 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
BYM
2 - 0
INT
65%
19%
16%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BYM
6 - 2
M05
85%
11%
4%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
FCB
0 - 3
BYM
24%
20%
56%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | +1 |