Europa League Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
Schalke 04 vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
32.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
DAR
2 - 1
S04
16%
21%
63%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
AJA
2 - 0
S04
42%
24%
34%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
S04
4 - 1
WOL
48%
25%
27%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
BRE
3 - 0
S04
32%
24%
44%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
S04
1 - 1
BVB
18%
21%
61%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
AJA
5 - 1
SCH
69%
18%
13%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
AJA
2 - 0
S04
42%
24%
34%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
NEC
1 - 5
AJA
14%
22%
64%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
AJA
4 - 1
AZA
64%
20%
16%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
AJA
2 - 1
FEY
52%
24%
25%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | +1 |